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What Could Fire Up America’s Anemic Inflation?

Global competition and technological advances are keeping U.S. inflation below the Fed’s 2% target, but could significant government spending help boost it?

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Options Markets Complacent Ahead of La Niña

After a head fake last year, the La Niña weather phenomenon may be coming back for real this time (Figure 1).  Cooler-than-normal water is pooling along the Equator on the Americas side of the Pacific Ocean (Figure 2).  La Niña is associated with cooler, wetter conditions along the U.S.-Canadian border; …

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Fed Takes Lead in Unwinding Quantitative Easing

The Fed will likely slash its balance sheet by 2023 to 12-1/2 percent of GDP, but will the Bank of Japan follow suit in unwinding its quantitative easing?

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Gold: Risk from Diminished Rate Expectations

Gold, silver and platinum prices have been rebounding over the past six months for what appears to be one major reason: investors losing faith in the Federal Reserve (Fed) to continue raising interest rates in the current tightening cycle, as reflected in Fed Funds Futures.  For example, in mid-March, Fed …

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Quantitative Easing: The Way Out for Central Banks

Off The Charts! examines the pertinent economic issues of the day, providing a deeper dive into complex topics and framing the issues in a way that can lead to a better understanding of the financial and commodities markets.