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Impact of Low Inflation Expectations on Wages

Off The Charts! examines the pertinent economic issues of the day, providing a deeper dive into complex topics and framing the issues in a way that can lead to a better understanding of the financial and commodities markets.

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Why is Wage and Productivity Growth Sluggish?

Despite a tight labor market, wage and productivity growth remain low in the U.S.   Wage growth stood at just 2.5% in July 2017, on par with post-Recession performance.  Labor productivity growth averaged only 1.1% between 2007 and 2016.  Between 1995 and 2007, by contrast, the average growth rate was 2.5%.  …

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Oil: U.S. Output and OPEC Production Cuts

Off The Charts! examines the pertinent economic issues of the day, providing a deeper dive into complex topics and framing the issues in a way that can lead to a better understanding of the financial and commodities markets.

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Oil: Is Climbing U.S. Production About to Peak?

Since October 2016, U.S. crude oil production has surged by over one million barrels per day, replacing more than two-thirds of what the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) was supposed to cut to shore up prices.  However, it looks like the growth in U.S. production is quickly running out …

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Uneven Debt Levels Complicate Eurozone Monetary Policy

Former British Prime Minister Winston Churchill once remarked that Americans could always be counted on to do the right thing after having tried everything else.  The same could be said of the European Central Bank (ECB) for what it did over the past decade in the aftermath of the financial …